High Probability Trades for Week 34, 2025
25 August - 29 August 2025
This post is available exclusively to PRO members and contains my interpretation of the watchlist along with the trading opportunities I see for the next week.
To better understand the strategy we are following and not to buy blindly without any context, please read and analyze my strategy carefully:
Inside My Portfolio
Because you pay for this newsletter monthly, I feel I have the responsibility and duty to be 100% transparent with you. That’s why I’ve introduced this format where I show you every week exactly what my portfolio looks like. (shares, total value of my portfolio, avg price - everything!)
Right now, these are my positions:
And here’s a video showing the value of my portfolio from January 2024 to August 2025:
Attention: since I live in Switzerland, the currency is set in CHF (which means if you convert it to USD, the amount is much higher).
One more disclaimer: I deposited about $9000 this week.
This Week’s Opportunities!
Keep an eye on the private Freedom Trades chat, where I’ll announce when I enter a position in one of these opportunities.
Because of this massive bull market, there are so many opportunities that I’m almost 100% in equities, trying to maximize this bull run. Nobody knows when it will end, but right now is the time to accelerate, until the price action tells us to stop
Ticker: SOUN
SoundHound has been making higher highs since February, respecting this trendline on the daily chart.
Even though the drop from the previous $17 high was sharp, down 30% in just 5 days…it’s extremely volatile.
The reward from here is around 39% if it manages to retest the previous high, and if it breaks out, it could push all the way to $24.
The move could also be fueled by the strong quarterly earnings they just reported.
It’s in the AI sector, which makes it hot right now.
Let’s see how it opens on Monday…the volume also looks good.
If I see a strong open, I’ll announce a new position in the chat.
Ticker ASTS
As you know, I’m already in a position on ASTS. (230 shares_ I believe it has a good chance to retest the $60 level, which would bring a 30% reward. I entered on Thursday after seeing that bounce at the support zone.
Ticker: HTZ
As you know, I’m in a position on HTZ. The reason is that I saw a small support forming around the $5 zone, and then HTZ announced it would sell its cars through Amazon’s platform.
For me, when a relatively small company strikes a deal with one of the biggest companies in the world, that’s a strong enough catalyst to take a position, especially in a bull market. Of course, we don’t know if this partnership will be successful or bring any real value to the company, but we can take advantage of the hype, particularly in a bull market.
I’m looking to sell around the $8 zone at most, or depending on how price action performs. My stop loss is just below $5…if it loses that support, I’m out.
Ticker: QS
Volume is still descending, which makes this trade unattractive for now. But from a psychological perspective, think about how many trapped traders bought at the $14–15 level. These traders are stuck, waiting to sell their positions at break-even.
If it manages to retest the previous high, we could see an 80% reward.
First, we need to see some confirmation from volume or an accumulation zone. Still, QS needs to be watched closely, it could explode.
Ticker AMPX & SMR
I tried these two trades at the beginning of the week, but I got stopped out on both. I paid the price for being too early and not waiting for confirmation. The setup still looks valid.
Ticker RBLX
Even though this trade might take weeks, even months, RBLX is one of the high-probability setups. A support is forming in the 113–117 zone, and volume is picking up. If it retests the $150 area, we’re looking at a potential 27% reward.
Ticker GLXY
Ticker: QBTS
QBTS has been in the same channel since November 2025. Be careful with QBTS—it’s already up 1300% in a year. For a company with literally zero revenue, it’s extremely overextended and highly speculative. On top of that, volume still doesn’t look good.
But if it manages to retest the $20 zone, we could see a 34% reward.
Ticker : RGTI
This trend on RGTI will work until the moment it doesn’t, be careful, it’s already been tested 4 times.
It looks like a valid setup, but I wouldn’t take a large position here, especially since volume also seems to be fading. Stay cautious.
TICKER: RIVN
Again, a trendline respected on the daily timeframe, already tested 4 times. Volume is increasing, but since it’s in a sector that isn’t hot right now, and the stock itself is in a downtrend, I wouldn’t open a large or even medium position, maybe just a small one.
It could retest the $16 level, which would mean a 22% reward, but that will probably take a few weeks, not too soon. So from a risk-to-reward perspective, it doesn’t look that good.
HELP: How to interpret the chart
All charts are daily timeframe.
The gray zone marks support and resistance.
The blue line is a trend line
The moving averages used are 200 EMA, 50 EMA, 20 EMA, and 10 EMA.
The 200 EMA is the most important for trend direction.
The 10 EMA is used for exits, if you are in profit and the price closes below the 10 EMA on a daily close, exit the position.
Place your stop loss at -10%. For an A++ setup, you can extend it to -20%, but never let a position go beyond that.
Important: That 20% refers to your position size, not your total capital. You should never risk more than 5% of your total capital on any single trade.
If you have any questions, please write to me using the chat feature!
Thank you for being part of this community!
“One trade closer to freedom.”
Vladislav