High Probability Trades for Week 35, 2025
1 - 5 September 2025 | Edition 5
This post is available exclusively to PRO members and contains my interpretation of the watchlist along with the trading opportunities I see for the next week.
To better understand the strategy we are following and not to buy blindly without any context, please read and analyze my strategy carefully:
Inside My Portfolio
Because you pay for this newsletter monthly, I feel I have the responsibility and duty to be 100% transparent with you. That’s why I’ve introduced this format where I show you every week exactly what my portfolio looks like. (shares, total value of my portfolio, avg price - everything!)
Right now, these are my positions:
And here’s a video showing the value of my portfolio from January 2024 to August 2025:
Attention: since I live in Switzerland, the currency is set in CHF (which means if you convert it to USD, the amount is much higher).
One more disclaimer: I deposited about $9500 this week.
This Week’s Opportunities!
Before we begin, pay attention to September! If it turns out to be a bearish month, I will be much more defensive, which means fewer LONG trades and smaller positions.
Pay attention to stocks that show strength while the market is down…these are the ones that will perform best once the market recovers. And the reverse is also true: growth companies without revenue will suffer the biggest losses.
Prepare yourself mentally for drawdowns!
Remember, staying in cash is a position!!!
Keep an eye on the private Freedom Trades chat, where I’ll announce when or if I enter a position.
Ticker: SOUN 0.00%↑
I’m still in the position, my average price is 12.46, and the trade still looks good and valid. I’ll wait for a longer push to take my profits, while at the same time being ready to cut my losses if I see the market entering a pullback.
Ticker: ASTS 0.00%↑
As you know, I still have my position open in ASTS.
I want to see a breakout at the $53 level to feel comfortable holding this position further. My average price is $45.72. If it loses the $45 level, I’ll consider closing the trade earlier.
Ticker : BABA 0.00%↑
BABA, in the medium term (a few weeks), could retest that resistance and then break out toward the $150 zone, thanks to the catalyst that Alibaba has launched a new AI chip to compete with Nvidia, which faces sales bans in China. The chip supports AI inference and is compatible with Nvidia’s platform ++ the strong earnings report.
We might see a small pullback after this jump, and I’ll be waiting to see how things develop in the coming days.
Ticker: MARA 0.00%↑
MARA looks good, but it will only move if we see another wave of hype from the crypto market, and right now BTC is in a -13% pullback from its ATH. If we see strength in BTC, MARA could be a better play.
All of August, it has been trading in a $15–16 range, and it looks ready to explode. If that trendline holds, we could see a 32% move and even more if it reaches the next resistance line at $30.
The same goes for MSTR (if you look at the daily timeframe chart)
Ticker : FIG 0.00%↑
Figma recently had its IPO. The plan/setup for this ticker is to play the potential hype that could build on September 3rd since they will be reporting earnings on that date.
I have no idea what will happen, which is why I’ll stay on the sidelines and watch the price action to see how it reacts. If hype builds around this stock, if volume rises before earnings, and especially how it reacts the day after earnings, that’s what I’ll be looking at.
This is the riskiest type of play and a pure hype trade. There’s no support/resistance or fundamentals yet, as the company just entered the stock market game. Watch out!
Don’t try to catch a falling knife! This is very situational!!
HELP: How to interpret the chart
All charts are daily timeframe.
The gray zone marks support and resistance.
The blue line is a trend line
The moving averages used are 200 EMA, 50 EMA, 20 EMA, and 10 EMA.
The 200 EMA is the most important for trend direction.
The 10 EMA is used for exits, if you are in profit and the price closes below the 10 EMA on a daily close, exit the position.
Place your stop loss at -10%. For an A++ setup, you can extend it to -20%, but never let a position go beyond that.
Important: That 20% refers to your position size, not your total capital. You should never risk more than 3% of your total capital on any single trade.
If you have any questions, please write to me using the chat feature!
“One trade closer to freedom”
Vladislav