High Probability Trades for Week 44, 2025
3 - 7 November 2025 | Edition 15
This post is available exclusively to PRO members and contains my interpretation of the watchlist along with the trading opportunities I see for the next week.
To better understand the strategy we are following and not to buy blindly without any context, please read and analyze my strategy carefully:
All the positions I take can be found in the Freedom Trades private chat and/or Discord Server.
Inside My Portfolio
Because you pay for this newsletter monthly, I feel I have the responsibility and duty to be 100% transparent with you. That’s why I’ve introduced this format where I show you every week exactly what my portfolio looks like. (shares, total value of my portfolio, avg price - everything!)
Right now, these are my positions:
Attention: since I live in Switzerland, the currency is set in CHF (which means if you convert it to USD, the amount is higher).
You can copy my watchlist here: https://www.tradingview.com/watchlists/208082684/
This Week’s Opportunities!
Dear traders,
Our private community has officially reached over 100 traders this week!
It’s incredible to see what’s happening..
With this huge influx of new subscribers and traffic, it didn’t take long for shady, unregulated brokers and companies to start reaching out with “offers.”
Let me make this clear: I will never promote garbage.
I will always act in your best interest.
If I don’t personally use a product or believe it’s high quality, I won’t accept any kind of deal.
I only care about becoming a better trader, not an influencer.
I only care about building a smarter, more valuable community.. united by one goal: Freedom.
I’m truly grateful to have you all here, and I’m proud of what we’re building together every single day. I just want to thank you for sharing your dreams and goals with me.. something I find deeply personal and meaningful.
That being said, let’s dive into this week’s opportunities!
Vladislav
Ticker: NFLX 0.00%↑
Setup Score: 90 / 100 🟢 AA+ Setup
If we look at the most recent times when Netflix dropped below or touched the 200 EMA, we can see that it didn’t stay there for long. This was the case in April 2025, August 2024, and even October 2023.
Now, if the market helps us and the general direction remains positive, we could see a quick recovery toward the first take profit (TP), offering a potential reward of around 12% for TP1 and approximately 20% for TP2.
However, the issue is that the ADR (Average Daily Range) is currently around 2%, which makes it a slow mover. We don’t want to keep money parked in something that, on average, only moves 2% per day. To reach that 20% target, we might need to stay in this trade for quite a while, possibly 2-5 months.
One way to accelerate that ADR would be to look at the NFLU ticker, which represents Netflix 2X Long. Essentially, it moves twice as much as Netflix, which can amplify your gains … but be careful, because it also amplifies your losses.
If Netflix loses 50% of its value, you would effectively be liquidated, since this is a leveraged product. So make sure you size your position carefully!
Also, for those trading options, this setup can definitely be used to your advantage.
Ticker: BBAI 0.00%↑
Setup Score: 80 / 100 🟢 A Setup
As you know, I already entered a position in BBAI on Wednesday after the FED announcement.
My average entry price is $6.90.
I want to see it hold the low at $6.42, my stop-loss is set at $6.20.
My thesis:
– BBAI is showing massive volume.
– PLTR is at an all-time high, so BBAI could potentially follow with a sympathy move.
– PLTR’s upcoming earnings could also influence BBAI’s price action.
– BBAI recently attempted to retest the low formed on October 22 and successfully created a higher low.
– It’s holding the 50 EMA line, which is a positive technical signal.
– There’s potential for a move fueled by the upcoming earnings.
Ticker: PATH 0.00%↑
Setup Score: 80 / 100 🟢 A Setup
This setup is still valid as long as it is not printing lower lows. (below 14.72$)
PATH is coiling inside a bullish flag pattern after a sharp 12% move on AI partnership news.
Volume expansion confirms institutional interest.
Fresh, powerful AI catalyst with big-name collaborations (OpenAI, Snowflake, Google).
High liquidity and strong relative volume.
Market and sector momentum aligned.
Ticker: OPEN 0.00%↑
Setup Score: 70 / 100 🟨 B Setup
I admit, maybe I’m being a bit stubborn, but this Friday I entered another position in OPEN.
I still believe this setup is valid, especially now that it attempted to retest a previous low and failed.
What I want to see next is a higher high and a break of structure to the upside from that descending wedge.
Ideally, the stock should break above the $8.50 level, that would confirm the setup’s validity and suggest a potential continuation toward the previous top.
I’ve won once on OPEN and lost once, so at this point I’m basically break-even.
If this trade turns out to be a loser, I’ll probably stay away from this ticker for a while.
OPEN is forming a descending wedge breakout on the 4H chart, a bullish reversal pattern.
Volume has been rising steadily, signaling accumulation before breakout.
First target sits around $10.50–$11, aligning with the prior resistance zone and a ~34% upside from current levels.
What I don’t like is:
No obvious fresh fundamental catalyst right now.
Still below key trendline, needs confirmed breakout candle above $8.30–$8.50.
Broader real estate sector remains sensitive to macro (rates, yields).
Not a hot sector rn
Ticker: META 0.00%↑
I want to mention this ticker because it’s important to keep an eye on it…it’s one of the MAG 7.
Any pullback here represents a rare opportunity to enter one of the “safest” tickers out there.
In my opinion, it’s still too early to enter this trade, as we’re not in the business of catching falling knives. (But if you really want to do that, don’t buy earlier than around $580 or near that trendline.)
Also, that gap needs to be filled, and we know from statistics that around 80% of gaps eventually get filled, especially on mega large-cap stocks like this one.
One way or another, it will be filled, the only problem is, we don’t know when.
The way I’d play META is by waiting for it to form a consolidation base and seeing if it starts making higher lows and reclaims the 200 EMA line, that’s where I’d start buying.
It could turn into a great opportunity, especially for those using leverage, such as options traders or single-stock leveraged ETFs, to boost that ADR%.
Other interesting stocks for me are: SOUN 0.00%↑ , PL 0.00%↑ , DUOL 0.00%↑ , IONQ 0.00%↑ .
Important links to read and understand:
🟢How to define whether a setup is A+, A, or B. (Click here)
Soon I will add more to this category..
Context
Check the chart watermark to identify the analysis timeframe.
The gray/blue zone marks support and resistance.
The slim blue lines are trend lines
The moving averages used are 200 EMA, 50 EMA, 20 EMA, and 10 EMA.
The 200 EMA is the most important for trend direction.
The 10 EMA is used for exits, if you are in profit and the price closes below the 10 EMA on a daily close, exit the position. (wait for EOD before closing)
You are free to choose/decide when to take profits, but the most important is to place your stop loss at -10% (from entry price / avg price if you dont enter with full size).
For an A+ setup, you can extend it to -15%, but never let a position go beyond that.
Important: That 15% refers to your position size, not your total capital. You should never risk more than 3% of your total capital on any single trade.
I encourage you, if you’re already a PRO member, you can upgrade your membership on the Discord server (at no extra cost) and get access to a fully private server dedicated to PRO members, for networking, trade ideas, insights, and alerts.
Connect PRO account with discord server
P.S.: The email you use on Discord must be the same as the one on Substack.
If you get an error or can’t make it work, message me privately, I might be able to help you out. 🙂
“One trade closer to freedom”
Vladislav