High Probability Trades for Week 40, 2025

6 October - 10 October 2025 | Edition 10

This post is available exclusively to PRO members and contains my interpretation of the watchlist along with the trading opportunities I see for the next week.

To better understand the strategy we are following and not to buy blindly without any context, please read and analyze my strategy carefully:

My Entire Swing Trading Strategy that made me Financial Free

All the positions I take can be found in the Freedom Trades private chat.

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Inside My Portfolio

Because you pay for this newsletter monthly, I feel I have the responsibility and duty to be 100% transparent with you. That’s why I’ve introduced this format where I show you every week exactly what my portfolio looks like. (shares, total value of my portfolio, avg price - everything!)

Right now, these are my positions:

Attention: since I live in Switzerland, the currency is set in CHF (which means if you convert it to USD, the amount is higher).

This Week’s Opportunities!

Did you enjoy the gains we had last week??? Literally everything I called out was GREEN! 💚

We’re already getting used to winning week after week… and it feels like nothing can scare us anymore, not even a government shutdown…

But that’s dangerous thinking!

Even though the data suggests this bull market could continue, we never know when a pullback might hit.

So once again, I encourage you to practice responsible risk management and to take full advantage of this incredible opportunity called Freedom Trades.

I don’t know how many of you truly realize how rare it is in this industry to have access to someone trading six-figure capital — and being 100% transparent about every move — for just $20 a month 😂

I post Weekly opportunities - 4 times per month, that’s 5$ per email.
That’s peanuts. Absolute peanuts.

So reach out, connect with each other, and let’s build the strongest trading community on Substack!

Ticker: OPEN

As much as I hate this ticker, I have to admit that it’s always a leader in terms of volume…which means it’s highly traded, not only by retail traders but by institutions as well. And we know that’s what drives the price in both directions. We need high ADR and good volatility to grow our accounts.

If we look at the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that this trendline has been respected since August 8th.

Now, what I don’t like is that this pattern usually ends up breaking to the downside. However … and this is a big however, we’re in a bull market, which brings the probability closer to 50–50%.

Another thing I don’t like is that there’s roughly a 13% downside risk to the next support level around $7, which means if we want to enter a position, we shouldn’t go in with full size. We can add near that level and then risk around 10% total.

What I do like is that the stock has maintained very high volume (on Friday alone, 240 million shares traded) and seems to be forming an accumulation zone around the $8 level.

On the weekly chart, the stock is still very overextended, which makes me think there’s still room for a pullback.

Keep an eye on this stock daily, a lot of traders are trapped at all-time highs, and there’s still momentum in play.

As I said, be careful… this is a stock with an ADR of 14%, meaning it can explode in either direction on any given day.

Ticker: SMR

Look at how SMR reacted after that huge volume surge, the price declined for a few days and then exploded higher.

If that trendline formed since April manages to hold, we could see a retest of the $52 level, which would give us a potential reward of around 32%.

Volume is increasing, and the price seems to be holding the 50 MA quite well.

Ticker: MP

I believe this is the month when MP will attempt a second leg up to break above the previous all-time high of $82. As you can see, it failed the first time and formed a double top on the daily chart.

I think it failed because it was too overextended, especially on the monthly timeframe.

It’s clear that the stock has built an accumulation zone between $62 and $80.

I’m not sure if it will happen this week, but I’ve noticed that volume has started to increase over the past week.

If it does attempt that breakout, we could see MP reaching the next psychological level, around $100.

Ticker: RDDT

I’ve mentioned RDDT before, Reddit is a name I want to hold practically forever.

I use the app daily, and I truly believe it will eventually make its way into the S&P 500. It has massive potential, and I can easily see it reaching a $100–200 B market cap within the next 3–5 years.

Recently, the stock dropped after reports that ChatGPT isn’t using much of the company’s data.

I see two possible scenarios here:

1. It forms a support and then retests the all-time highs, or

2. It continues to pull back toward the 200 MA / $140–160 level.

Either way, this could turn into an amazing trade setup, especially with a strong catalyst coming up, the earnings report on November 4th.

It might still be a bit too early to enter, but make sure you keep an eye on this ticker.

As for me, I’ll definitely be adding to my existing position soon. (I will announce in the chat)

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HELP: How to interpret the chart

All charts are daily or weekly timeframe. (check the watermark)

The gray/blue zone marks support and resistance.

The slim blue lines are trend lines
The moving averages used are 200 EMA, 50 EMA, 20 EMA, and 10 EMA.

• The 200 EMA is the most important for trend direction.

• The 10 EMA is used for exits, if you are in profit and the price closes below the 10 EMA on a daily close, exit the position. (wait for EOD before closing)

Place your stop loss at -10%. For an A++ setup, you can extend it to -20%, but never let a position go beyond that.
Important: That 20% refers to your position size, not your total capital. You should never risk more than 3% of your total capital on any single trade.

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Many of you wrote to me saying you’d like us to have a Discord server where we can connect. I heard you. and I’ve just created one.

All of you who are PRO, send me a direct message and I’ll give you a special role that unlocks a private channel where we can connect and share daily market opportunities.

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“One trade closer to freedom”
Vladislav